Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 42.23%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 28.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.