Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.57%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 3-0 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match.