Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 71.45%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 9.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15%) and 0-3 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.