Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 47.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 25.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.