Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.