Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Jun 25, 2020 at 9pm UK

Braga Municipal

Braga
3 - 2
Guimaraes

Paulinho (1'), Trincao (42'), Galeno (65')
Palhinha (49'), Fransergio (75')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Andre (15' pen.), Duarte (35')
Venancio (9'), Andre (45+1')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
40.8%	25.19%	34.01%

Both teams to score 56.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.11%

46.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.86%

69.14%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15%

22.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.41%

56.59%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.46%

26.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.25%

61.75%

Score Analysis

Braga 40.8%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 34.01%

Draw 25.18%

Braga	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 8.96% 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 6.61% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.2% Total : 40.8%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 8.05% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 5.34% 1-3 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.01%