Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Braga |
24.57% | 24.22% | 51.21% |
Both teams to score 53.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.16% | 47.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.98% | 70.02% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.22% | 33.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.55% | 70.45% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.32% | 18.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.97% | 50.03% |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 6.85% 2-1 @ 6.24% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.57% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 6.31% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-2 @ 8.88% 1-3 @ 5.39% 0-3 @ 4.97% 2-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 2.26% 0-4 @ 2.08% 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |