Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
