Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 63.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 2-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.