Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.