La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 23, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona4 - 1Espanyol
We said: Girona 2-1 Espanyol
Girona are missing so many players at the moment, but they are welcoming an Espanyol side that have struggled badly on their travels during the 2024-25 campaign, and we are expecting the hosts to record a narrow win to continue their strong form. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Espanyol |
60.87% ( 0.53) | 20.78% ( -0.12) | 18.35% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 56.19% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
