Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 67.02%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.