We said: Barcelona 2-0 Sevilla
Barcelona have dominated this fixture throughout history, and we are struggling to see a scenario which involves them dropping points on Sunday night. Sevilla are an improving team, but Barcelona have been largely excellent in La Liga this season, and we fancy Flick's side to win this contest relatively comfortably.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 14.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 3-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.