La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 at 1pm UK
San Mames Barria
We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Espanyol
Athletic will be missing some key players this weekend, and Espanyol are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable match for the home side. The Lions can still call upon some excellent quality, though, and we are backing them to navigate their way to all three points on Saturday afternoon.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60% . A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 16.79% .
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.56%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%) , while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6.25%) . The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result Athletic Bilbao Draw Espanyol 60% ( -0.06) 23.21% ( 0.01) 16.79% ( 0.05)
Both teams to score 45.48% ( 0.09)
46.89% ( 0.06) 53.11% ( -0.06)
25.31% ( 0.05) 74.69% ( -0.05)
82.62% ( 0) 17.37% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 52.21% ( 0.01) 47.78% ( -0)
55.05% ( 0.11) 44.95% ( -0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 19.11% ( 0.09) 80.89% ( -0.09)
Athletic Bilbao 59.99%
Espanyol 16.79%
Draw 23.21%
Athletic Bilbao Draw Espanyol 1-0 @ 13.66% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.96% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 59.99% 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.21% 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.49% Total : 16.79%
How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol
Athletic Bilbao
Draw
Espanyol
94
rhs 2.0
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