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La Liga
Espanyol logo
La Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
RCDE Stadium
Athletic Bilbao logo

Espanyol
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Darder (90')
Braithwaite (21'), Gragera (53'), Gil (59'), Calero (78'), Vidal (90+1')
Vidal (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Williams (22'), Williams (75')
de Marcos (21'), Garcia (30'), Sancet (44'), Simon (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Espanyol

All competitions
Last Game: Girona 2-1 Espanyol
Saturday, April 1 at 1pm in La Liga

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Osasuna
Tuesday, April 4 at 8.10pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Espanyol 2-2 Athletic Bilbao

 This has all of the makings of an entertaining contest, and we are expecting goals in Saturday's affair. Espanyol have the second-worst home record in the league this season, but Athletic have won just four times on their travels, so we are backing a draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 49.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
EspanyolDrawAthletic Bilbao
23.02% (0.218 0.22) 27.62% (0.168 0.17) 49.35% (-0.381 -0.38)
Both teams to score 42.67% (-0.194 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.34% (-0.367 -0.37)61.66% (0.372 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.52% (-0.272 -0.27)81.48% (0.276 0.28)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.05% (0.0040000000000049 0)42.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.76% (0.004999999999999 0)79.24%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (-0.34399999999999 -0.34)25.22% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.04% (-0.479 -0.48)59.96% (0.48200000000001 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Espanyol 23.02%
    Athletic Bilbao 49.34%
    Draw 27.62%
EspanyolDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.126 0.13)
2-1 @ 5.33% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.87% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.5% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.09% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 23.02%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.83% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 14.91% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 10.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.72% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.99% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 49.34%

How you voted: Espanyol vs Athletic Bilbao

Espanyol
24.5%
Draw
24.5%
Athletic Bilbao
51.0%
49
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2023 7pm
Round of 16
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Espanyol
De Marcos (27')
Alvarez (45')

Puado (36'), Sanchez (44'), Gomez (45+3'), Souza (90+3')
Sep 4, 2022 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Espanyol
Braithwaite (83')
Cabrera (45+3')
Feb 7, 2022 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Espanyol
Sancet (5'), Martinez (16')
Vesga (62'), Petxarroman (87'), Martinez (90+3')
Vilhena (3')
Morlanes (15'), Lopez (70'), Gil (75')
Oct 26, 2021 8pm
Espanyol
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
De Tomas (33' pen.)
Herrera (73')
de Tomas (90+3')
Williams (52')
Berenguer (75'), Alvarez (90+4')
Jan 25, 2020 12pm
Espanyol
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
De Tomas (63')
Sanchez (17'), Roca (56'), Espinosa (59')
Villalibre (12')
Vesga (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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