La Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
RCDE Stadium
Espanyol1 - 2Athletic Bilbao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Girona 2-1 Espanyol
Saturday, April 1 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, April 1 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Osasuna
Tuesday, April 4 at 8.10pm in Copa del Rey
Tuesday, April 4 at 8.10pm in Copa del Rey
We said: Espanyol 2-2 Athletic Bilbao
This has all of the makings of an entertaining contest, and we are expecting goals in Saturday's affair. Espanyol have the second-worst home record in the league this season, but Athletic have won just four times on their travels, so we are backing a draw here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 49.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
23.02% ( 0.22) | 27.62% ( 0.17) | 49.35% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 42.67% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
