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La Liga
Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 5, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Athletic Bilbao logo

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 0
Athletic Bilbao


Mumin (21')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, February 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, March 1 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

 This has all the makings of a very interesting match, and cases can be made for both sides to pick up all three points. We are expecting a really close affair, though, ultimately settling on a 1-1 draw, which would not be the worst result in the world for either side at this stage of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAthletic Bilbao
38.53% (0.319 0.32) 27.47% (-0.133 -0.13) 34% (-0.19 -0.19)
Both teams to score 49.25% (0.372 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.63% (0.481 0.48)56.37% (-0.48399999999999 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.61% (0.387 0.39)77.39% (-0.39100000000001 -0.39)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59% (0.417 0.42)28.41% (-0.421 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.522 0.52)64.16% (-0.527 -0.53)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8% (0.119 0.12)31.2% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.45% (0.139 0.14)67.54% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 38.52%
    Athletic Bilbao 34%
    Draw 27.47%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.067 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 38.52%
1-1 @ 12.99% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.87% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 10.32% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 34%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao

Rayo Vallecano
42.9%
Draw
26.2%
Athletic Bilbao
31.0%
84
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Rayo Vallecano
Williams (14'), Sancet (28'), Williams (33')
Trejo (5'), Falcao (80')
Valentin (21')
Jan 23, 2022 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Lopez (89')
Serrano (30')
Williams (17'), Zarraga (60'), Garcia (69'), Simon (82'), Lekue (86'), Williams (88')
Sep 21, 2021 9pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-2
Rayo Vallecano
Ciss (33' og.)
Nunez (16'), Muniain (56'), Martinez (90+5')
Garcia (5'), Falcao (90+6')
Catena (7'), Guardiola (42'), Maras (83')
Apr 14, 2019 1pm
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Rayo Vallecano
Williams (2', 50'), Garcia (72')
Williams (90')
Moreno (45'), De Tomas (85')
Advincula (49'), Ba (68')
Advincula (52')
Oct 24, 2018 6pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Angel Pozo (23')
Imbula (59')
Muniain (66')
Garcia (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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