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Las Palmas
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La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Athletic Bilbao logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Aspas (71')
Tapia (36'), Nunez (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Alvarez (61'), Zarraga (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Celta have drawn four of their nine home league matches this season, suffering just three defeats, and they will be the fresher of the two teams heading into this match. Athletic will have been boosted by their Copa del Rey success, but they are not winning in the league at the moment, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAthletic Bilbao
30.92% (0.108 0.11) 27.28% (0.144 0.14) 41.8% (-0.246 -0.25)
Both teams to score 48.96% (-0.375 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.66% (-0.497 -0.5)56.34% (0.502 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.63% (-0.401 -0.4)77.37% (0.40599999999999 0.41)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)33.31% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.07% (-0.2 -0.2)69.93% (0.205 0.2)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42% (-0.35900000000001 -0.36)26.58% (0.365 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.19% (-0.482 -0.48)61.8% (0.487 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 30.92%
    Athletic Bilbao 41.79%
    Draw 27.28%
Celta VigoDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.139 0.14)
2-1 @ 7.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.35% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.92%
1-1 @ 12.89% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.86% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 11.73% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.43% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.045 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.79%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao

Celta Vigo
18.1%
Draw
31.3%
Athletic Bilbao
50.6%
83
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 5.30pm
Aug 28, 2021 4pm
Mar 14, 2021 1pm
Celta Vigo
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Mina (45'), Vazquez (63'), Murillo (70'), Coudet (89')

Lekue (41')
Dec 4, 2020 8pm
Jan 19, 2020 5.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Celta Vigo
Garcia (76' pen.)
Capa (13'), Lopez (19'), Berchiche (27'), Martinez (83')
Rafinha (56')
Araujo (23'), Blanco (73'), Vazquez (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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