Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Villarreal |
32.89% ( 0.47) | 25.4% ( 0.02) | 41.71% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 55.61% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.88% ( 0.03) | 48.12% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.72% ( 0.03) | 70.28% ( -0.03) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.16% ( 0.32) | 27.83% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.57% ( 0.4) | 63.43% ( -0.4) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.06% ( -0.23) | 22.94% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.28% ( -0.33) | 56.71% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.89% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |