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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 31, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Valencia logo

Villarreal
2 - 1
Valencia

Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Foyth (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cavani (21')
Musah (35'), Comert (56'), Moriba (73'), Cavani (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: CD Guijuelo 1-2 Villarreal
Tuesday, December 20 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 16 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Villarreal 1-1 Valencia

As mentioned, there has not been a draw between these two sides since September 2018, with each of the last seven La Liga meetings producing a winner. However, we are struggling to separate them here, as Valencia will be full of confidence following their success over Real Betis before the campaign was halted. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 19.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawValencia
57.02% (-0.738 -0.74) 23.26% (0.117 0.12) 19.72% (0.623 0.62)
Both teams to score 50.46% (0.67400000000001 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (0.374 0.37)49.17% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (0.337 0.34)71.24% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98% (-0.126 -0.13)17.02% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.85% (-0.224 -0.22)47.15% (0.224 0.22)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.81% (0.902 0.9)39.19% (-0.902 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.1% (0.834 0.83)75.9% (-0.833 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 57.01%
    Valencia 19.72%
    Draw 23.26%
VillarrealDrawValencia
1-0 @ 11.81% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 10.45% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.17% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.73% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 57.01%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.26%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.151 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.097 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 19.72%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Valencia

Villarreal
68.7%
Draw
24.1%
Valencia
7.2%
83
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
Villarreal
2-0
Valencia
Danjuma (10' pen., 17')
Trigueros (75'), Aurier (84')

Comert (9'), Maranhao (40'), Moriba (66')
Oct 30, 2021 5.30pm
Valencia
2-0
Villarreal
Guillamon (43'), Soler (77' pen.)
Guillamon (47'), Alderete (63')

Danjuma (53'), Trigueros (73'), Albiol (75'), Chukwueze (79')
Mar 5, 2021 8pm
Valencia
2-1
Villarreal
Soler (86' pen.), Guedes (90+2')
Racic (14'), Soler (23'), Gaya (39'), Gomez (67')
Moreno (40' pen.)
Foyth (36'), Capoue (42'), Albiol (85')
Oct 18, 2020 3pm
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Alcacer (6' pen.), Parejo (69')
Iborra (12'), Pedraza (52'), Kubo (72')
Kubo (90+2')
Guedes (37')
Paulista (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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