La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 11

Oct 23, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal
2 - 1
Almeria

Baena (56'), Jackson (90+4')
Moreno (7'), Baena (50'), Torres (57')
Baena (56'), Morlanes (58')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Melero (31')
Akieme (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Villarreal
Thursday, October 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 3-2 Girona
Thursday, October 20 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Villarreal 3-1 Almeria

After a tough couple of days, a home tie against newly-promoted opposition is exactly what Villarreal needed, and we expect them to get the job done here. Almeria are high on confidence and should cause one or two problems going forward, but the hosts should be able to see this one through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 12.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Almeria
68.49% ( -0.29)	18.88% ( 0.11)	12.62% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 48.67% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.65% (

-0.04)

43.34% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.25% (

-0.04)

65.74% (

0.04)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.4% (

-0.09)

11.59% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.43% (

-0.19)

36.57% (

0.19)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.05% (

0.27)

44.95% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.11% (

0.21)

80.89% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 68.48%

Almeria 12.62%

Draw 18.88%

Villarreal	Draw	Almeria
2-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 68.48%	1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.83% Total : 18.88%	0-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.21% Total : 12.62%