La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 11, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Benito Villamarín

Real Betis
1 - 0
Villarreal

Rodri (61')
Guardado (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pino (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Betis and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Betis

Last Six:

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 0-2 Real Betis
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Atletico Madrid	5	5	10
5	Real Betis	4	4	9
6	Osasuna	4	3	9

Villarreal

Last Six:

Last Game: Villarreal 4-3 Lech Poznan
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Real Madrid	4	7	12
3	Villarreal	4	9	10
4	Atletico Madrid	5	5	10

We said: Real Betis 1-1 Villarreal

There is not an awful lot between these two sides in terms of quality, but Real Betis are likely to be missing some important players this weekend, which would certainly help Villarreal. That said, we are finding it difficult to separate the two teams and have had to settle on a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Real Betis	Draw	Villarreal
35.83% ( 2.03)	27.09% ( -0.27)	37.08% ( -1.77)

Both teams to score 50.62% (

1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.26% (

1.23)

54.73% (

-1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.95% (

1.01)

76.05% (

-1.01)

Real Betis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.77% (

1.9)

29.22% (

-1.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.82% (

2.28)

65.17% (

-2.28)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.52% (

-0.44)

28.47% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.76% (

-0.55)

64.24% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Real Betis 35.82%

Villarreal 37.07%

Draw 27.08%

Real Betis	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.53% Total : 35.82%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.08%	0-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.64) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.49) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.07%