While we are yet to see whether Villarreal will truly prioritise building a run in Europe's third competition, they should still have more than enough to beat Hajduk Split on home turf. Emery has plenty of quality throughout his squad if he opts to rotate, and their array of attacking talent will likely overpower the Croatian visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 15.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.35%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Hajduk Split win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Hajduk Split
59.6% ( 0.15)	25.1% ( 0.06)	15.31% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 37.97% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.38% (

-0.46)

61.62% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.54% (

-0.34)

81.46% (

0.34)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.23% (

-0.13)

20.77% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.59% (

-0.2)

53.41% (

0.2)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.93% (

-0.58)

52.07% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.95% (

-0.38)

86.05% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 59.58%

Hajduk Split 15.31%

Draw 25.09%

Villarreal	Draw	Hajduk Split
1-0 @ 16.99% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 13.35% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 7% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.93% Total : 59.58%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.35% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.33% Total : 15.31%