Europa League

Europa League | Third Qualifying Round

Sep 24, 2020 at 7pm UK

Türk Telekom Stadyumu

Galatasaray
2 - 0
Hajduk Split

Belhanda (77'), Babel (86')
Bayram (37')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mujakic (25'), Diamantakos (69')

Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between Galatasaray and Hajduk Split.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Hajduk Split win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
Galatasaray	Draw	Hajduk Split
57.35%	22.85%	19.8%

Both teams to score 51.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.64%

47.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.42%

69.58%

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.74%

16.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.2%

45.8%

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.95%

38.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.18%

74.82%

Score Analysis

Galatasaray 57.33%

Hajduk Split 19.8%

Draw 22.85%

Galatasaray	Draw	Hajduk Split
1-0 @ 11.23% 2-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 5.97% 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-0 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 1.02% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.17% Total : 57.33%	1-1 @ 10.86% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.85%	0-1 @ 5.98% 1-2 @ 5.25% 0-2 @ 2.89% 1-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.53% Total : 19.8%