La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 21, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico
0 - 2
Villarreal

Felix (48'), Gimenez (90+1')
Molina (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pino (73'), Moreno (90+7')
Parejo (90+3'), Baena (90+4'), Moreno (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Getafe 0-3 Atletico
Monday, August 15 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Rayo Vallecano	2	2	4
5	Atletico Madrid	1	3	3
6	Villarreal	1	3	3

Villarreal

Last Six:

Last Game: Villarreal 4-2 Hajduk Split
Thursday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Atletico Madrid	1	3	3
6	Villarreal	1	3	3
7	Real Sociedad	1	1	3

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Villarreal

Despite both meetings ending as 2-2 draws last season, we expect Atletico to record a victory this time around. The hosts should be fresher after Villarreal played in midweek, and we expect this to pay dividends, particularly later in the match with Simeone having so many excellent attacking options to call upon from the bench. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 27.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Villarreal
45.05% ( -0.06)	27.93% ( 0.02)	27.02% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 45.11% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.77% (

-0.03)

60.23% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.58% (

-0.02)

80.41% (

0.02)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.31% (

-0.05)

26.69% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.06% (

-0.06)

61.94% (

0.06)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.53% (

0.02)

38.47% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.78% (

0.02)

75.22% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 45.05%

Villarreal 27.02%

Draw 27.92%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 13.56% 2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 45.05%	1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.92%	0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 1.57% Total : 27.02%