Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 2 | 4 |
5 | Atletico Madrid | 1 | 3 | 3 |
6 | Villarreal | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Atletico Madrid | 1 | 3 | 3 |
6 | Villarreal | 1 | 3 | 3 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 27.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
45.05% ( -0.06) | 27.93% ( 0.02) | 27.02% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 45.11% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.77% ( -0.03) | 60.23% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.58% ( -0.02) | 80.41% ( 0.02) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.31% ( -0.05) | 26.69% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.06% ( -0.06) | 61.94% ( 0.06) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.53% ( 0.02) | 38.47% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.78% ( 0.02) | 75.22% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 13.56% 2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 45.05% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 1.57% Total : 27.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |