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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio Anoeta
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Sociedad
1 - 2
Atletico

Guridi (90+3')
Le Normand (13'), Rafinha (36'), Merino (53'), Portu (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Paul (50'), Correa (68')
Griezmann (45+2'), Savic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico Madrid

A draw would not be enough for Real Sociedad to finish fifth, although it might be taken out of their hands ahead of this match. The hosts will be determined to end on a win regardless of whether it means they finish ahead of Real Betis, but Atletico, who might need to triumph to secure third, should be good enough for a point on the final weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
39.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.65% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 33.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.57% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.84% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)57.16% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)78.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (0.0039999999999907 0)28.47% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)64.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)68.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 39.09%
    Atletico Madrid 33.25%
    Draw 27.64%
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 11.48%
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 39.09%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.14%
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 10.38%
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Atletico

Real Sociedad
25.9%
Draw
29.6%
Atletico Madrid
44.4%
108
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Real Sociedad
2-0
Atletico
Januzaj (33'), Sorloth (47')
Munoz (28'), Silva (59')

Hermoso (31'), Felipe (39'), Cunha (90+2')
Oct 24, 2021 8pm
Atletico
2-2
Real Sociedad
Suarez (61', 77' pen.)
Felipe (31')
Sorloth (7'), Isak (48')
Zaldua (41'), Elustondo (68'), Merino (76')
May 12, 2021 9pm
Dec 22, 2020 6.45pm
Real Sociedad
0-2
Atletico

Le Normand (29'), Elustondo (80'), Isak (86')
Hermoso (49'), Llorente (74')
Savic (16'), Hermoso (29'), Niguez (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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