We said: Atletico Madrid 3-1 Granada
The visitors are struggling for form, while Los Colchoneros have their sights set on a top-four finish, and we see Simeone's men taking all three points on home turf.
Even with a makeshift back line, they boast a squad capable of outclassing Granada on Wednesday and should make it back-to-back league wins.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 70.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Granada had a probability of 11.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.