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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 10, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Athletic Bilbao logo

Granada
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Collado (35')
Quini (41'), Escudero (77'), Duarte (88'), Brice Eteki (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vesga (72')
Vesga (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Granada and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

Last Six:
Last Game: Granada 0-0 Espanyol
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

Athletic Bilbao

Last Six:
Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Granada 0-2 Athletic Bilbao

 Now coming up against a defensively sound Athletic Bilbao side having suffered fresh injury blows with three of their goalscorers at the weekend, Granada's strong start to life under Karanka could come to a grinding halt here. The hosts have not had the winning formula in front of their own fans of late, and with Marcelino's men in rather strong form themselves, the European outsiders can take advantage of Granada's lengthy injury list to get back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Granada had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
GranadaDrawAthletic Bilbao
30.53% (0.669 0.67) 26.27% (0.305 0.31) 43.2% (-0.976 -0.98)
Both teams to score 51.85% (-0.623 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.44% (-0.962 -0.96)52.56% (0.961 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.78% (-0.831 -0.83)74.22% (0.83 0.83)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)31.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)68.05% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (-0.89399999999999 -0.89)24.15% (0.894 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (-1.287 -1.29)58.46% (1.287 1.29)
Score Analysis
    Granada 30.53%
    Athletic Bilbao 43.2%
    Draw 26.27%
GranadaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.326 0.33)
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.06% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 30.53%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 7.64% (0.287 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 10.85% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 7.71% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 43.2%

How you voted: Granada vs Athletic Bilbao

Granada
24.2%
Draw
20.0%
Athletic Bilbao
55.8%
95
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Granada
Garcia (10'), Maximiano (76' og.)
Marcelino (53'), Zarraga (62')
Martinez (90+9')
Machis (25'), Molina (34')
Montoro (40'), Sanchez (77')
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Granada
Villalibre (3'), Berenguer (90+1')
Garcia (28'), Vencedor (68')
Molina (78')
Herrera (59'), Diaz (90+5')
Sep 12, 2020 5.30pm
Granada
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Herrera (49'), Milla (53')
Herrera (10'), Sanchez (45'), Gonalons (90+2')

Morcillo (15'), Martinez (52'), Lopez (72'), Alvarez (84')
Jul 19, 2020 8pm
Granada
4-0
Athletic Bilbao
Mar 5, 2020 8pm
Granada
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Fernandez (48'), Sanchez (76')
Sanchez (50')
Berchiche (81')
Alvarez (40'), Vesga (73'), Simon (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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