Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 35.94%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.