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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Athletic Bilbao logo

Sevilla
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Mir (68')
Jordan (25'), Acuna (76'), Papu (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (38'), Berchiche (57'), Vivian (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

After multiple draws in a row, Sevilla have fallen into a pattern at the end of the season, which they do not need to get out of to secure fourth spot. Bilbao are arguably more in need of a win, but being away from home may count against them this weekend, especially considering Sevilla's strong home record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 17.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
57.72% (-0.36600000000001 -0.37) 24.32% (0.379 0.38) 17.95% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.55% (-1.049 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.46% (-1.395 -1.4)55.53% (1.393 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29% (-1.154 -1.15)76.71% (1.153 1.15)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.89% (-0.664 -0.66)19.11% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.26% (-1.109 -1.11)50.73% (1.109 1.11)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.07% (-0.837 -0.84)44.92% (0.837 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.13% (-0.679 -0.68)80.87% (0.678 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 57.71%
    Athletic Bilbao 17.95%
    Draw 24.31%
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 14.2% (0.46 0.46)
2-0 @ 11.75% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 57.71%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.452 0.45)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.209 0.21)
1-2 @ 4.55% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 17.95%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao

Sevilla
56.2%
Draw
23.8%
Athletic Bilbao
20.0%
105
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Sevilla

Lekue (52'), Garcia (62'), Vencedor (65'), Martinez (90+3')
Delaney (38')
Fernando (73'), Rekik (88'), Kounde (90')
May 3, 2021 8pm
Oct 31, 2020 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Sevilla
Muniain (76'), Sancet (86')
Garcia (30'), Martinez (54'), Williams (62'), Lopez (89'), Berchiche (90+2')
En-Nesyri (9')
Fernando (26'), Kounde (63'), Acuna (69'), Navas (88'), Carlos (90')
Jan 3, 2020 8pm
Sevilla
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Nunez (60' og.)
Carrico (31'), Ocampos (77')
Capa (15')
Capa (71'), Lopez (84'), Nunez (85'), Martinez (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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