Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.