Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 45.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Celta Vigo |
45.21% | 28.77% | 26.01% |
Both teams to score 42.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.56% | 63.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.21% | 82.78% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.88% | 28.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.2% | 63.79% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.84% | 41.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.31% | 77.69% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 14.68% 2-0 @ 9.31% 2-1 @ 8.27% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.25% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.6% Total : 45.21% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.76% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.24% Total : 26.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
6 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |