Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.75%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
24.38% | 27.26% | 48.36% |
Both teams to score 44.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.5% | 59.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.14% | 79.86% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.6% | 40.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.98% | 77.02% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.28% | 24.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.73% | 59.27% |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.05% 2-1 @ 5.73% 2-0 @ 4.1% 3-1 @ 1.73% 3-0 @ 1.24% 3-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.31% Total : 24.38% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 9.99% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 13.95% 0-2 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 8.84% 0-3 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.59% 1-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |