La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Oct 4, 2020 at 11am UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
2 - 0
Celta Vigo

Roncaglia (23'), Calleri (76')
Garcia (55'), Sanjurjo (60'), Garcia (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tapia (26'), Rodriguez (82'), Murillo (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Celta Vigo, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Celta Vigo
40.1%	28.33%	31.57%

Both teams to score 46.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.06%

59.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.81%

80.2%

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.77%

29.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.81%

65.19%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.26%

34.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.53%

71.47%

Score Analysis

Osasuna 40.1%

Celta Vigo 31.56%

Draw 28.32%

Osasuna	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.49% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.58% Total : 40.1%	1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.32%	0-1 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.2% Total : 31.56%