Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.