Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.