Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.