Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 43.31%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 27.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.