Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.