Champions League

Champions League | Quarter-Finals

Aug 13, 2020 at 8pm UK

Estádio José Alvalade

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Atletico

Olmo (51'), Adams (88')
Klostermann (70'), Kampl (82'), Haidara (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Felix (71' pen.)
Lodi (62'), Gimenez (90+6')

RB Leipzig boss Julian Nagelsmann sets his sights on Champions League final

Julian Nagelsmann thought his team were slightly better in the final third and that "was the difference."

Aug 13, 23:22

The Match

Match Report

Tyler Adams' last club goal came for New York Red Bulls in March 2018.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Champions League quarter-final between RB Leipzig and Atletico Madrid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 42.89%. A draw had a probability of 35.6% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 21.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 20.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 1-2 (5.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (22.02%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-0 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Atletico Madrid
21.53%	35.58%	42.89%

Both teams to score 26.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

19.44%

80.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

6.73%

93.27%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.59%

56.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.29%

88.71%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.96%

39.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.24%

75.76%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 21.53%

Atletico Madrid 42.89%

Draw 35.57%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 12.6% 2-0 @ 3.61% 2-1 @ 3.39% Other @ 1.92% Total : 21.53%	0-0 @ 22.02% 1-1 @ 11.85% 2-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.1% Total : 35.57%	0-1 @ 20.71% 0-2 @ 9.74% 1-2 @ 5.58% 0-3 @ 3.06% 1-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.89%