Villarreal

1 - 0

Celta Vigo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 16.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match.