La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

May 15, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Estadio El Madrigal

Villarreal
1 - 2
Real Sociedad

Coquelin (43')
Foyth (68'), Albiol (77'), Lo Celso (90+6'), Jackson (90+11')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Isak (56'), Zubimendi (73')
Zaldua (2'), Isak (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

Last Six:

Last Game: Barcelona 0-2 Villarreal
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Real Sociedad	38	3	62
7	Villarreal	38	26	59
8	Athletic Bilbao	38	7	55

Real Sociedad

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 Atletico
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Real Betis	38	22	65
6	Real Sociedad	38	3	62
7	Villarreal	38	26	59

We said: Villarreal 1-1 Real Sociedad

With so much on the line on Sunday, we predict a tight encounter and see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome. While the hosts desperately need a win in their pursuit of European qualification, the losses of Danjuma and Moreno could hit them hard against a stronger defence, and we do not see them putting La Real to the sword with a makeshift front line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Real Sociedad
44.85% ( -1.83)	25.24% ( 0.47)	29.92% ( 1.36)

Both teams to score 54.84% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.47% (

-1.32)

48.52% (

1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.35% (

-1.22)

70.65% (

1.22)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.36% (

-1.35)

21.64% (

1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.24% (

-2.12)

54.76% (

2.11)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.99% (

0.29)

30.01% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.86% (

0.35)

66.13% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 44.85%

Real Sociedad 29.92%

Draw 25.23%

Villarreal	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.85%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.23%	0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.92%