Champions League

Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

May 3, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal
2 - 3
Liverpool

(Liverpool win 5-2 on aggregate)

Dia (3'), Coquelin (41')
Capoue (63'), Lo Celso (81'), Torres (85')
Capoue (86')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Fabinho (62'), Diaz (67'), Mane (74')
Alexander-Arnold (77')

Jurgen Klopp equals Champions League final record

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp equals a Champions League record after his side beat Villarreal 5-2 on aggregate in the semi-finals.

May 3, 23:13

Liverpool's Mohamed Salah celebrates scoring their second goal on February 16, 2022

Mohamed Salah: 'I want Real Madrid in the Champions League final'

Liverpool attacker Mohamed Salah announces his desire to meet Real Madrid in the Champions League final as the Reds survive a scare to beat Villarreal.

May 3, 22:52

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

Last Six:

Last Game: Barcelona 0-2 Villarreal
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Real Sociedad	38	3	62
7	Villarreal	38	26	59
8	Athletic Bilbao	38	7	55

Liverpool

Last Six:

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League

Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City	38	73	93
2	Liverpool	38	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	43	74

We said: Villarreal 0-1 Liverpool (Liverpool win 3-0 on aggregate)

Stepping out onto the Ceramica turf has been a difficult proposition for a plethora of sides in recent months, but Villarreal offered little to nothing in attack at Anfield and have been hit with injuries to the forward line at the worst possible time. While Liverpool may find it slightly trickier to assert their dominance away from their Anfield fortress, a refreshed side looking almost unstoppable right now should book their spot in the final with minimal difficulty. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.29%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Liverpool
25.48%	26.66%	47.86%

Both teams to score 47.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.3%

56.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.35%

77.65%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.16%

37.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.39%

74.61%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.27%

23.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.14%

57.86%

Score Analysis

Villarreal 25.48%

Liverpool 47.86%

Draw 26.66%

Villarreal	Draw	Liverpool
1-0 @ 8.73% 2-1 @ 6.1% 2-0 @ 4.24% 3-1 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.42% 3-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.65% Total : 25.48%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.66%	0-1 @ 12.91% 0-2 @ 9.29% 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-3 @ 4.46% 1-3 @ 4.33% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-4 @ 1.6% 1-4 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.58% Total : 47.86%