We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Real Betis
Both teams will view this match as the perfect chance to put down a marker in the race for a top-four position, but we are finding it difficult to separate the two sides here. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away victory, but we believe that the pair will cancel each other out in a low-scoring draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.