We said: Real Betis 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt
Real Betis will be motivated by the prospect of reaching the Europa League final in their home city this season, albeit at the stadium of their rivals Sevilla, but they come up against a Frankfurt side who know what it takes to reach the latter stages of this competition.
Both teams have suffered dips in form recently and although there is little to separate them, the hosts may just edge Wednesday's contest and take a narrow lead into the second leg.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.