We said: Valencia 0-1 Real Betis
All of a sudden, Valencia boss Bordalas must work his way around a defensive crisis, and Real Betis ought to feel confident about rediscovering some goalscoring form against a depleted Che backline.
Valencia gave Betis a good run for their money in the Copa del Rey final, but Pellegrini's side were arguably unfortunate not to take any points off Barcelona and can scrape a vital win to extinguish the hosts' hopes of a swift revenge.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.