Europa League

Europa League | Qualifying Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Petrovsky Stadium

Zenit
2 - 3
Real Betis

(Real Betis win 3-2 on aggregate)

Dzyuba (25'), Malcom (28')
Rakitskiy (7'), Barrios (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Rodriguez (8'), Jose (18'), Guardado (41')
Tello (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Zenit St Petersburg and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Zenit St Petersburg 1-1 Real Betis

Although the visitors may be missing a couple of key players, they have proven to be a tough team to beat on their travels this season. Zenit, meanwhile, may be slightly undercooked due to the lack of competitive football and although they possess home advantage, we think that they may be held to a draw on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Real Betis
50.24%	22.07%	27.69%

Both teams to score 64.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.67%

35.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.64%

57.36%

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.59%

14.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.66%

42.34%

Real Betis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.18%

24.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.59%

59.4%

Score Analysis

Zenit St Petersburg 50.24%

Real Betis 27.69%

Draw 22.07%

Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Real Betis
2-1 @ 9.35% 1-0 @ 6.93% 2-0 @ 6.71% 3-1 @ 6.04% 3-0 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 4.21% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 2.04% 5-1 @ 1.13% 4-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.53% Total : 50.24%	1-1 @ 9.66% 2-2 @ 6.52% 0-0 @ 3.58% 3-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.07%	1-2 @ 6.73% 0-1 @ 4.99% 0-2 @ 3.47% 1-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 3.03% 0-3 @ 1.61% 1-4 @ 1.09% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.69%