Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 23, 2021 at 8pm UK

Swedbank Stadion, Malm

Malmo
1 - 1
Zenit

Rieks (28')
Dahlin (50'), Ahmedhodzic (56'), Moisander (74'), Rieks (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rakitskiy (90+2' pen.)
Claudinho (36'), Wendel (55'), Chistyakov (62')
Chistyakov (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Malmo and Zenit St Petersburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Malmo 1-2 Zenit St Petersburg

Malmo will surely get off the mark in terms of goals on Tuesday night, but their visitors' attacking potential can cause them more problems after a dominant display when the teams met in September. For that reason, the Swedish champions will go down to a fifth consecutive defeat; sending Zenit through to the Europa League knockout rounds as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Malmo win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Malmo	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
34.8%	25.01%	40.19%

Both teams to score 57.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.06%

45.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.75%

68.25%

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.37%

25.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.48%

60.52%

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.26%

22.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.58%

56.42%

Score Analysis

Malmo 34.8%

Zenit St Petersburg 40.19%

Draw 25.01%

Malmo	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
2-1 @ 8% 1-0 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.8%	1-1 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.01%	1-2 @ 8.7% 0-1 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 4.3% 0-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.19%