MX23RW : Sunday, March 23 04:11:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Mar 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 3
Connah's Quay

Oswell (57', 72'), Martin (58')
Martin (61'), Hughes (66')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Hughes (20' pen.), Kenny (21' pen., 43'), Nash (44', 67')
Nash (60'), Marriott (77'), Kenny (86')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Briton Ferry 1-1 Newtown
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 4-0 Flint Town
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 0-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 2-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
18.47% (-0.041 -0.04) 20.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 60.81% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.66% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.13% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)39.86% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.77% (-0.052 -0.05)62.22% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.9% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)35.1% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.15% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)71.85% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.31% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)12.69% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.12% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)38.88% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 18.47%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 60.81%
    Draw 20.71%
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 5.04% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 2.44% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.76% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 18.47%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.71%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 9.49% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.19% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.84%
0-3 @ 6.53% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.58% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 3.37% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.85% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.46%
0-5 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 60.81%

Head to Head
Feb 1, 2025 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Connah's Quay
1-0
Newtown
Kenny (17')
Nash (64'), Edwards (87')
Nov 30, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Newtown
0-3
Connah's Quay

Pryce (24'), Roberts (41'), Oswell (47')
Roberts (58')
Nash (41'), Hughes (59'), Kenny (63')
Nash (38'), Edwards (51')
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Connah's Quay
1-1
Newtown
Hughes (32')
Edwards (35'), Edwards (54')
Williams (45+1')
Evans (4'), Sutton (61')
Mar 29, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Connah's Quay
0-0
Newtown
Edwards (59')
Cowans (13'), Roberts (38')
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Newtown
2-3
Connah's Quay
Oswell (9', 59')
Evans (51'), Ismail (58'), Sears (81'), Wycherley (85'), Downs (87')
Davies (27', 45+3'), Kenny (53')
Poole (19'), Harrington (45+1'), Firth (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints29240584285672
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont29177550282258
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest291310636211549
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon29135114946344
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU29126114143-242
6Bala TownBala Town29712103439-533
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry29127104650-443
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay291251246311541
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town29103164060-2033
4Briton Ferry2985164458-1429
5Newtown AFCNewtown2968153356-2326
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2952222366-4317
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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