
Newtown2 - 3Connah's Quay
Martin (61'), Hughes (66')
Nash (60'), Marriott (77'), Kenny (86')
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 0-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 2-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
Result | ||
Newtown AFC | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
18.47% (![]() | 20.71% (![]() | 60.81% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.66% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.13% (![]() | 39.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.77% (![]() | 62.22% (![]() |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.9% (![]() | 35.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.15% (![]() | 71.85% (![]() |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.31% (![]() | 12.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.12% (![]() | 38.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newtown AFC | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
2-1 @ 5.04% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.76% ( ![]() Other @ 2.76% Total : 18.47% | 1-1 @ 9.63% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.2% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.71% | 1-2 @ 9.94% (![]() 0-2 @ 9.49% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 9.19% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.84% 0-3 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.46% 0-5 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 3.64% Total : 60.81% |
Nash (38'), Edwards (51')