MX23RW : Wednesday, March 26 11:50:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Feb 22, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
0 - 2
Connah's Quay


Kavanagh (30'), Willmott (82'), Hulbert (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Edwards (44'), Durrant (90+1')
Roberts (46'), Nash (61'), Owens (77'), Edwards (88')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 1-1 Barry
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-1 Briton Ferry
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 2-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
22.75% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 22.8% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 54.44% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.35% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.49% (0.028999999999996 0.03)43.51% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.1% (0.029000000000003 0.03)65.9% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (0.076999999999998 0.08)33% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (0.082000000000001 0.08)69.58% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.1% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)15.9% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.86% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)45.14% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 22.75%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 54.44%
    Draw 22.8%
Barry Town UnitedDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 5.93% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.23% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.19% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 22.75%
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.8%
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.87% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.03% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.44% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.77% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.5% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 54.44%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Barry
3-2
Connah's Quay
McLaggon (23'), Gwyn Owen (74', 88')
Kavanagh (84')
Hughes (58', 85')
Hughes (57'), Edwards (90+6')
Sep 7, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Connah's Quay
1-2
Barry
Kenny (40')
Marriott (37')
Hulbert (54', 89')
Press (43'), Patten (61'), Bright (82'), Margetson (83')
Dec 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Connah's Quay
7-0
Barry
Sainty (14' og.), Kenny (21', 52' og.), Franklin (62'), Harrington (65'), Davies (80'), Wilde (86')
Nash (44')

Sylvester (88')
Sep 9, 2023 2.45pm
Gameweek 6
Barry
1-4
Connah's Quay
Hulbert (22')
Tomlinson (62'), Cotterill (90'), Veale (90')
Davies (40', 66'), Kenny (44'), Disney (85')
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Connah's Quay
2-0
Barry
Owens (36'), Harrison (54')
Disney (8')

McLaggon (26'), Kavanagh (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints29240584285672
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont29177550282258
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest291310636211549
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon29135114946344
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU29126114143-242
6Bala TownBala Town29712103439-533
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry29127104650-443
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay291251246311541
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town29103164060-2033
4Briton Ferry2985164458-1429
5Newtown AFCNewtown2968153356-2326
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2952222366-4317
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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