We said: Sevilla 1-1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid have been victorious on their last two league visits to Estadio Ramon, but Sevilla have not lost a single home La Liga fixture this term, and we are finding it difficult to back Los Blancos with any serious confidence despite their position at the summit, ultimately settling on a low-scoring draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.